CHICAGO, IL - The stage is set for a clash of NFC titans as the red-hot Chicago Bears host the surging San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. This marks a rematch of a lopsided meeting back in Season 30, where the 49ers rolled past the Bears 28-6. But much has changed since then - including a new-look Bears team led by head coach Mark Miller and MVP-caliber quarterback Caleb Williams.
History Rewritten?
The last time these two met, Christian McCaffrey ran wild for 106 yards and a touchdown, while Brock Purdy threw three scores as the Niners cruised. This time, the Bears are the higher seed, boasting an 11-6 record and home-field advantage. Coach Miller's team has reeled off four straight wins behind a dominant passing game and opportunistic defense.
Meanwhile, San Francisco is riding high after a statement Wild Card win over the Saints. Sam Howell threw for 276 yards, Brandon Aiyuk erupted for 167 yards receiving, and McCaffrey added 110 on the ground in a vintage postseason performance. Head coach Jeff Jarin has his team believing, even as the underdog.
By the Numbers
Statistically, the Bears come in with one of the most potent offenses in the league, ranking 8th in points per game (27.6) and 2nd in passing yards per game (284.2). Williams has been the catalyst, throwing for a staggering 5,187 yards and 36 touchdowns this season. His favorite target, D.J. Moore, continues to deliver as a top-tier weapon, racking up 1,271 yards and 6 scores.
Defensively, Chicago's strength lies in the trenches. They rank 5th against the run, allowing just 78.0 yards per game, which could be key in slowing down McCaffrey. However, the Bears' 29th-ranked pass defense (257.5 YPG allowed) could be exploited if Howell finds his rhythm early.
San Francisco’s profile is that of a battle-tested squad. While they only rank 11th in points scored (25.4) and have a bottom-tier pass defense (26th), they've consistently relied on efficiency and timely playmaking. McCaffrey's 1,311-yard campaign and Aiyuk's near-1,000 yard season provide a balanced attack. Their achilles heel? A defense that gives up 345.3 yards per game - 30th in the league.
Key Injuries
Both teams are dealing with critical injuries. The 49ers will be without backup QB Jeremiah Stanley and left guard Isaac Seumalo, while Chicago suffers more significantly on defense. Edge rusher Kevin Generals, starting right tackle Amarius Mims, and cornerback Darius Rush are all sidelined, putting extra pressure on the Bears' depth.
The 49ers will win if…
They can establish the run and protect Howell long enough to take advantage of Chicago's shaky secondary. McCaffrey will need another monster performance, but just as crucial will be Howell's ability to limit turnovers. If Aiyuk can keep creating explosive plays downfield and San Francisco avoids falling behind early, their offense may be too efficient to contain.
The Bears will win if…
Caleb Williams stays hot and the offense jumps out to an early lead. The 49ers' defense has been leaky all year, especially through the air. If Williams connects early and often with Moore and forces the 49ers to become one-dimensional, Chicago can control the tempo. Defensively, their front seven must keep McCaffrey in check and get pressure on Howell without having to blitz.
Final Word
It's a battle between one of the league's most explosive offenses and one of its most dangerous playmakers. The 49ers come in with momentum and experience, but the Bears have the talent, home-field advantage, and revenge on their minds. One thing's certain - this one won't be anything like the last time they met.
